SP 500 - Law of nature

       I can't claim myself as a bear at heart.  I can't afford to be extreme bull or bear in these volatile markets, so we need to be very flexible, turning from bulls to bears and the opposite often.
       The current market is really overbought, but actually trading overbought or oversold market without confirmation is a really looking for trouble.
       I wonder what is the particular reason, which holds the price so high and so long. According to my EW count there are five impulse waves already completed. Gann's calculations showed  me Mar 26 2010 as a mid top. Full moon cycle (Mar 28 2010) freaking all, passed away. What left? Maybe the extreme and naked optimism. But as we know the market needs pure cash, not optimism. Yesterdays volume was only 0.9m, which is peanuts money.  What left? - only optimism.
        As we know, every movement in the market is the result of a natural low and a cause, which exists long before the effect takes place, and can be determined days, weeks, months and years in advance. The future is a repetition of the past. Every move is a result of action and reaction. There is nothing new under the sun.
        Again, the market never likes to make the things easy for anyone.

Probably today will be the reversal day for correction (reaction), keeping the price 1180.69, made in Mar 25 2010 as a mid top.
Good luck!

S&P 500 Bull's herd needs a break

        Please Bulls, don't offend because of the title, I am medium term Bull too. 
I can put my hand at my heart and say -this top is not P2 or B yet. 
        In March 24. 2010 I made diffident try to mix EWTheory & Gann Theory, and it was very close-1 day and 2.94 pts, as I mentioned taking the bottom made in Feb 05.2010 only. Then I also painted potential triangle for the next few months before the final bullish push. Probably it could be a different formation-corrective as well.
      Yesterday I made few more calculations. This time I took the Mar25.2010 and 1180.40 as a potential top, and got some results as dates and price levels. These levels perfectly fit to the Fibonacci -38.2% and 50.0% of the potential (a)  wave of the last "zig zag", which we should see next months. To tell you the truth, I am really curious to see the results. Can you imagine how powerful market weapon could be constructed, combining both theories? 

     P.S.- The green vertical lines are dates in April.

EUR/USD -Did the P.I.G.S. sink the EUR ?

            As you know, the Ewaves are usually aroused by the social mood. That inaugurate events in the world, and when the EUR down  trend began, still nobody was talking about fiscal problems in Greece, Portugal and other European countries. We still don’t know if these problems will end next weeks or not, but the pair EUR/USD very soon will complete very clear 5 waves downward, which are built for nearly five months. It was very serious decline due to hmmm....Do you think the P.I.G.S did it?  

          5 complete waves means, that the EUR is going to be kicked out by the green old buck for deeper retrace very soon. 

        See the current labeling I did: Technically two weeks ago I was doubting about the (V)th wave could happen (the current (iV) wave was labeled in my chart as "leading diagonal" of potential (a)  corrective wave). So, that (V) is already underway and I relabeled my count.

I have enclosed the whole data  I've got, and as you see the grand channel (since 1971) still holds the price between the lines. 

The potential target looks like 1EUR= 1$

SPX 500 Very short term

    Today I made time and price calculations about SP-500. These very short term calculations were based on the GANN Theory  mainly and the EWP. My last few months dream is a combination between the EWP and the GANN Theory. I have tried many times before, but hopeless. Gann is very difficult( for me) to be understood. The calculation pointed price 1177.75 or 1187.58,which is at 360 degrees angle and date -03/26/2010  or the day before or after that date as a reversal time point.
                 I know, that many of the EW followers will say- tell us something we don't know! Yes,but that was according to the GANN Theory only, taking  the 02/05/2010 -1044.50 bottom ONLY.

AMD - Elliott Wave Analysis

                On daily base the well known US company AMD probably has made a potential historical bottom ($1.63) in November 2008. Since then I can count only impulse waves – Probably we are in ii of I of 1 of (1) waves, which means, that if that count is correct we can see the most mighty, bullish extension since Nov2008 bottom.

              I suspect a “flat” correction underway, which looks unfinished. Probably reaching $ 7.92- $ 8.10 resistance is going to look better. After completing that potential “flat”, and that resistance level hold the price, I will have the reason to expect bounce up for iiith wave of Ist wave of a 1st wave of a (1)st wave. Yes I know that looks little complicated.

            So, if the price action doesn’t “obey” to my desire and dip lower, then we should see closing the gap $6.17-$ 5.35 and testing the $ 5.31 support level, which will be the key level for the further price exit. If that level find support among the bears -AMD is in a BIG TROUBLE.

According to the data base we have, and calculations can be pointed the first target of a new potential, tight bull trend-$ 16.90.

$ 9.75 is a good conservative buy level.

Weekly base